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Ficci finds Q4 manufacturing outlook positive

Author: IANS/Monday, March 12, 2018/Categories: Economy

Ficci finds Q4 manufacturing outlook positive

New Delhi - The outlook for the country's manufacturing sector for the current fourth quarter (Q4) ending March 31 is positive, industry chamber Ficci said.

Ficci cited an increased percentage of its survey respondents reporting higher production in the ongoing quarter as compared to the previous one.

Releasing its latest quarterly survey on Indian manufacturing, Ficci said the positive outlook for the sector in the fourth quarter (January-March) has increased significantly to 55% from 47% in October-December 2017.

"This positive outlook is notable as Q-4 2017-18 witnessed the highest percentage of respondents (55%) expecting higher production since Q-2 of 2016-17," said a Ficci statement.

"The percentage of respondents reporting low production has also come down to 11% in the fourth quarter from 15% in Q3 of 2017-18."

Ficci's latest survey assessed the expectations of manufacturers for the current quarter in 12 major sectors while responses were drawn from over 300 units in large as well as small and medium (SME) segments, with a combined annual turnover of over Rs 3 lakh crore.

"In terms of order books, 51% of the respondents in Q4 are expecting higher number of orders as against 42% of Q3 which again is a sign of revival," the survey said. 

According to Ficci, there are "visible signs of revival in capital goods and improvement is seen in export outlook also".

"The future investment outlook remains pessimistic as 64% respondents reported that they are not planning any capacity additions for the next six months," the industry body said. 

"High raw material prices, low domestic and export demand, exchange rate appreciation, increasing imports, excess capacities and shortage of working capital finance are some of the major constraints which are affecting expansion plans of the respondents."

Noting that overall capacity utilisation in manufacturing remains low, the survey reported that "the average capacity utilisation for the manufacturing sector is about 77% for Q3 2017-18 which is similar to that of Q2".

The outlook for exports is marginally positive as 47% of the participants are expecting a rise in exports during the quarter in consideration.

"Rupee appreciation has also affected exports during Q3 as 80% of the respondents reported that the exports were affected by upto 5% due to rupee appreciation," Ficci said.

"Hiring outlook for the sector remains subdued in the near future as 70% of respondents mentioned that they are not likely to hire additional workforce in next three months."

Reflecting the rising inflation, the survey reported that the cost of production as a percentage of sales "has risen significantly for 62% respondents in Q3 2017-18. 

"This is primarily due to increase in cost of raw materials, increased wages, power cost and higher GST rates on certain products."

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rajyashree guha

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